Date: Fri, 02 October 2026 at 11:00
Renata Zarazua faces Aryna Sabalenka at China Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Aryna Sabalenka a heavy favourite at 96% to win. Aryna Sabalenka holds a commanding 573-point Elo edge (1446 to 2019).
Aryna Sabalenka is especially strong on hard court; Renata Zarazua has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10; Aryna Sabalenka arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
The pair have met just once, with Aryna Sabalenka winning.