Date: Wed, 12 August 2026 at 14:00
Nicolas Mejia faces Jacob Fearnley at Cincinnati Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Jacob Fearnley a slight favourite at 61% to win. Jacob Fearnley leads on Elo by 50 points (1475 to 1525).
Hard court is not Nicolas Mejia's favoured surface; Nicolas Mejia arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Nicolas Mejia and Jacob Fearnley have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 14.9 and leans under the 21.5 line.
Expected ~14.9 games · leans Under 21.5