Date: Thu, 01 October 2026 at 09:10
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Matteo Berrettini at Japan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a close call at 52% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1677 to 1715).
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is especially strong on hard court.
Their head-to-head is level at 1–1; Matteo Berrettini won the most recent meeting in 2022.
On total games, the model projects about 27.8 and leans under the 22.5 line.
Expected ~27.8 games · leans Under 22.5