Date: Thu, 01 October 2026 at 07:39
Carlos Alcaraz faces Alex Michelsen at Japan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Carlos Alcaraz a heavy favourite at 89% to win. Carlos Alcaraz holds a commanding 364-point Elo edge (2048 to 1684).
Carlos Alcaraz is especially strong on hard court; Alex Michelsen is especially strong on hard court; Carlos Alcaraz arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10; Alex Michelsen arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Carlos Alcaraz and Alex Michelsen have not met on tour before.