Date: Mon, 05 October 2026 at 07:00
Carlos Alcaraz faces Jaume Munar at Japan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Carlos Alcaraz a heavy favourite at 91% to win. Carlos Alcaraz holds a commanding 454-point Elo edge (2051 to 1597).
Carlos Alcaraz is especially strong on hard court; Jaume Munar is especially strong on hard court; Carlos Alcaraz arrives in form, winning 9 of the last 10; Jaume Munar arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 3–1; Carlos Alcaraz won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 29.2 and leans under the 19.5 line.
Expected ~29.2 games · leans Under 19.5