Date: Sat, 03 October 2026 at 02:00
Denis Shapovalov faces Alejandro Tabilo at Japan Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Denis Shapovalov a slight favourite at 59% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1649 to 1618).
Denis Shapovalov is especially strong on hard court; Alejandro Tabilo is especially strong on hard court.
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo have not met on tour before.
On total games, the model projects about 25.5 and leans under the 22.5 line.
Expected ~25.5 games · leans Under 22.5