Date: Mon, 19 October 2026 at 04:00
Elise Mertens faces Leylah Fernandez at Ningbo Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Elise Mertens a slight favourite at 55% to win. Their Elo ratings are tightly bunched (1700 to 1664).
Leylah Fernandez is especially strong on hard court; Leylah Fernandez arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Elise Mertens leads the head-to-head 2–1; Elise Mertens won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 21.4 and leans over the 22 line.
Expected ~21.4 games · leans Over 22