Date: Thu, 08 October 2026 at 04:00
Pavel Kotov faces Tallon Griekspoor at Shanghai Masters on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Tallon Griekspoor a heavy favourite at 84% to win. Tallon Griekspoor holds a commanding 118-point Elo edge (1500 to 1618).
Hard court is not Pavel Kotov's favoured surface; Tallon Griekspoor is especially strong on hard court; Pavel Kotov has struggled lately, 1 wins from 10; Tallon Griekspoor has struggled lately, 3 wins from 10.
Their head-to-head is level at 2–2; Tallon Griekspoor won the most recent meeting in 2024.
On total games, the model projects about 18.6 and leans under the 23 line.
Expected ~18.6 games · leans Under 23