Date: Sun, 30 August 2026 at 17:10
Daniil Medvedev faces Hugo Gaston at US Open on hard court in a best-of-5 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Daniil Medvedev a heavy favourite at 92% to win. Daniil Medvedev holds a commanding 366-point Elo edge (1827 to 1461).
Daniil Medvedev is especially strong on hard court.
The pair have met just once, with Daniil Medvedev winning.
On total games, the model projects about 33.3 and leans under the 31.5 line.
Expected ~33.3 games · leans Under 31.5