Date: Sun, 30 August 2026 at 15:00
Roman Safiullin faces Carlos Alcaraz at US Open on hard court in a best-of-5 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our Elo rating makes Carlos Alcaraz a heavy favourite at 94% to win. Carlos Alcaraz holds a commanding 464-point Elo edge (1595 to 2059).
Carlos Alcaraz is especially strong on hard court; Roman Safiullin arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10; Carlos Alcaraz arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Their head-to-head is level at 1–1; Carlos Alcaraz won the most recent meeting in 2024.