Date: Tue, 28 July 2026 at 14:00
Alex De Minaur faces Stefanos Tsitsipas at Washington Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Alex De Minaur a clear favourite at 65% to win. Alex De Minaur holds a commanding 141-point Elo edge (1828 to 1687).
Alex De Minaur is especially strong on hard court; Alex De Minaur arrives in form, winning 8 of the last 10.
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads the head-to-head 12–1; Stefanos Tsitsipas won the most recent meeting in 2026.
On total games, the model projects about 30.3 and leans under the 22.5 line.
Expected ~30.3 games · leans Under 22.5