Date: Mon, 27 July 2026 at 22:00
Liudmila Samsonova faces Madison Keys at Washington Open on hard court in a best-of-3 format. Here is how our model reads the matchup.
Our model makes Madison Keys a clear favourite at 71% to win. Madison Keys holds a commanding 201-point Elo edge (1582 to 1783).
Madison Keys is especially strong on hard court; Liudmila Samsonova has struggled lately, 2 wins from 10; Madison Keys arrives in form, winning 7 of the last 10.
Madison Keys leads the head-to-head 5–1; Madison Keys won the most recent meeting in 2025.
On total games, the model projects about 21.3 and leans under the 21 line.
Expected ~21.3 games · leans Under 21