Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears Prediction — NFL Week 6 (2026)

Atlanta Falcons host Chicago Bears in NFL Week 6, kicking off October 18, 2026 at 18:00. This is a marquee matchup by our power ratings: Atlanta Falcons sit at Elo 1471 (No. 18 in our NFL ratings) and Chicago Bears at 1534 (No. 12).

Elo lean

Adjusted for the standard home-field edge, the Elo gap works out to roughly 52% for Chicago Bears (48% Atlanta Falcons / 52% Chicago Bears). Treat that as a power-rating read, not a full forecast — the complete model for this game publishes when lines open.

Form

• Atlanta Falcons: 2-3 in their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first); latest 23-30 vs Baltimore Ravens.
• Chicago Bears: 3-2 in their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first); latest 31-7 @ Green Bay Packers.

Head-to-head

These teams have met 5 time(s) in our data window: Atlanta Falcons won 2, Chicago Bears won 3. Most recently: Chicago Bears 37-17 Atlanta Falcons on 2023-12-31.

Injury watch: is Rome Odunze playing?

Rome Odunze is flagged on the injury list for Chicago Bears ahead of Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears. Availability in a game-shaping position is exactly the kind of news that moves both team quality and market prices, so treat the situation as fluid: confirmed lineups and final team news often land only close to kickoff. Our data pipeline folds confirmed team news into the numbers automatically as it arrives.