Data-driven writing on value betting, profitability and how the model thinks — free to read.
Our model makes the Astros 57% to win at home vs the Tigers (43%). Expected total 8.81 runs — model leans Under 9.0. Kai-Wei Teng vs Troy Melton. Full breakdown inside.
Read moreOur model makes the Reds 57% to win at home vs the Mets (43%). Expected total 9.99 runs — model leans Over 8.5. Chase Burns vs Tobias Myers. Full breakdown inside.
Read moreFonseca 70% to win vs Hanfmann (30%). Predicted total games ~28.3; model leans Over 23.5 (~56%) at the Pinnacle line. Grass form, H2H and where the value is.
Read moreKhachanov 77% to win vs Quinn (23%). Predicted total games ~26.6; model leans Over 23.5 (~52%) at the Pinnacle line. Grass form, H2H and where the value is.
Read moreOur model gives Keys 76% to win vs Wang (24%). Predicted total games ~24.0; model leans Over 21.5 at the Pinnacle line. Form, H2H and where the value is.
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