UFC: Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec headlines a card with 14 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 01, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Mateusz Rebecki meets Kyle Prepolec in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Mateusz Rebecki a 86% chance to win. Method: 31% KO/TKO, 17% submission, 53% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Mateusz Rebecki rates above Kyle Prepolec.

Card breakdown

• Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec: model favours Mateusz Rebecki at 86% (Elo 1506 vs 1444) Method: 31% KO/TKO, 17% submission, 53% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.
• L'udovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev: model favours Tofiq Musayev at 66% (Elo 1500 vs 1504) Method: 28% KO/TKO, 24% submission, 48% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira: model favours Oban Elliott at 68% (Elo 1511 vs 1500) Method: 29% KO/TKO, 14% submission, 56% decision — a 53% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Aleksandar Rakic vs Marcin Tybura: model favours Aleksandar Rakic at 70% (Elo 1522 vs 1557) Method: 38% KO/TKO, 7% submission, 56% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Dennis Buzukja vs Bogdan Grad: model favours Bogdan Grad at 67% (Elo 1456 vs 1485) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 11% submission, 57% decision — a 55% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Uros Medic vs Daniel Rodriguez: model favours Uros Medic at 60% (Elo 1564 vs 1594) Method: 50% KO/TKO, 6% submission, 44% decision — a 43% chance this fight goes the distance.