Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction — NFL Week 3 (2026)
This preview was published 184h before kickoff — the pick is only revealed after settlement.
Green Bay Packers host Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 3, kicking off September 25, 2026 at 01:15. This is a marquee matchup by our power ratings: Green Bay Packers sit at Elo 1502 (No. 16 in our NFL ratings) and Atlanta Falcons at 1456 (No. 20).
Elo lean
Adjusted for the standard home-field edge, the Elo gap works out to roughly 63% for Green Bay Packers (63% Green Bay Packers / 37% Atlanta Falcons). Treat that as a power-rating read, not a full forecast — the complete model for this game publishes when lines open.
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- Green Bay Packers: 0-5 in their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first); latest 39-22 @ Minnesota Vikings.
- Atlanta Falcons: 4-1 in their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first); latest 20-13 @ Pittsburgh Steelers.
Head-to-head
These teams have met 5 time(s) in our data window: Green Bay Packers won 2, Atlanta Falcons won 3. Most recently: Atlanta Falcons 25-24 Green Bay Packers on 2023-09-17.