Iowa vs Ohio State Prediction — College Football Week 5 (2026)
This preview was published 178h before kickoff — the pick is only revealed after settlement.
Iowa host Ohio State in College Football Week 5, kicking off October 03, 2026 at 19:30. This is a marquee matchup by our power ratings: Iowa sit at Elo 1664 (No. 16 in our College Football ratings) and Ohio State at 1735 (No. 4).
Elo lean
Adjusted for the standard home-field edge, the Elo gap works out to roughly 51% for Ohio State (49% Iowa / 51% Ohio State). Treat that as a power-rating read, not a full forecast — the complete model for this game publishes when lines open.
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- Iowa: 5-0 in their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first); latest 16-13 vs Iowa State.
- Ohio State: 2-3 in their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first); latest 59-3 vs Kent State.
Head-to-head
These teams have met 3 time(s) in our data window: Iowa won 1, Ohio State won 2. Most recently: Ohio State 35-7 Iowa on 2024-10-05.
Reading Between the Records
Our AI reads the same model data behind this preview and writes an extra analytical section — free members see it before kickoff. After the match it becomes public here.