Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots Prediction — NFL Week 3 (2026)
This preview was published 176h before kickoff — the pick is only revealed after settlement.
Jacksonville Jaguars host New England Patriots in NFL Week 3, kicking off September 27, 2026 at 18:00. This is a marquee matchup by our power ratings: Jacksonville Jaguars sit at Elo 1580 (No. 6 in our NFL ratings) and New England Patriots at 1584 (No. 4).
Elo lean
Adjusted for the standard home-field edge, the Elo gap works out to roughly 56% for Jacksonville Jaguars (56% Jacksonville Jaguars / 44% New England Patriots). Treat that as a power-rating read, not a full forecast — the complete model for this game publishes when lines open.
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- Jacksonville Jaguars: 4-1 in their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first); latest 34-10 vs Cleveland Browns.
- New England Patriots: 3-2 in their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first); latest 13-10 @ Seattle Seahawks.
Head-to-head
These teams have met 5 time(s) in our data window: Jacksonville Jaguars won 2, New England Patriots won 3. Most recently: Jacksonville Jaguars 32-16 New England Patriots on 2024-10-20.
Reading Between the Numbers
Our AI reads the same model data behind this preview and writes an extra analytical section — free members see it before kickoff. After the match it becomes public here.