UFC: Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev headlines a card with 17 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on October 25, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Alex Volkanovski meets Movsar Evloev in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Movsar Evloev a 86% chance to win. Method: 26% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 61% decision — a 57% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: model favours Movsar Evloev at 86% (Elo 1500 vs 1658) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 61% decision — a 57% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili: model favours Petr Yan at 55% (Elo 1635 vs 1670) Method: 19% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 72% decision — a 73% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Alex Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: model favours Movsar Evloev at 86% (Elo 1500 vs 1658) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 61% decision — a 57% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili: model favours Petr Yan at 55% (Elo 1635 vs 1670) Method: 19% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 72% decision — a 73% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: model favours Grant Dawson at 62% (Elo 1632 vs 1547) Method: 18% KO/TKO, 14% submission, 67% decision — a 62% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Nicolle Caliari vs Iasmin Lucindo: model favours Iasmin Lucindo at 84% (Elo 1486 vs 1549) Method: 22% KO/TKO, 17% submission, 61% decision — a 61% chance this fight goes the distance.