UFC: Chris Mecate vs Manuel Exposito Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Chris Mecate vs Manuel Exposito headlines a card with 8 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 22, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Chris Mecate meets Manuel Exposito in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Chris Mecate a 50% chance to win. Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Chris Mecate vs Manuel Exposito: model favours Chris Mecate at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Benny Orozco vs Dzhamal Mavliudov: model favours Benny Orozco at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Marcos Breno vs Bektur Zhenishbek Uulu: model favours Marcos Breno at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Joaquin Garcia vs Orlando Sanders: model favours Joaquin Garcia at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Nika Sabanashvili vs Artur Gadzhikhanov: model favours Nika Sabanashvili at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Sevak Khachatryan vs Aiden Ingram: model favours Sevak Khachatryan at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.