UFC: Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld headlines a card with 17 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 09, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Mateusz Gamrot meets Quillan Salkilld in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Quillan Salkilld a 76% chance to win. Method: 46% KO/TKO, 15% submission, 39% decision — a 39% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Quillan Salkilld rates above Mateusz Gamrot.

Card breakdown

• Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld: model favours Quillan Salkilld at 76% (Elo 1595 vs 1584) Method: 46% KO/TKO, 15% submission, 39% decision — a 39% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo: model favours Diego Ferreira at 66% (Elo 1549 vs 1512) Method: 36% KO/TKO, 16% submission, 49% decision — a 54% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Louie Sutherland vs Jose Montanha: model favours Louie Sutherland at 52% (Elo 1488 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 21% submission, 46% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Darren Elkins vs Yadier DelValle: model favours Darren Elkins at 67% (Elo 1568 vs 1500) Method: 32% KO/TKO, 21% submission, 47% decision — a 47% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara: model favours Alexia Thainara at 81% (Elo 1547 vs 1548) Method: 21% KO/TKO, 25% submission, 54% decision — a 53% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff: model favours Ty Miller at 63% (Elo 1515 vs 1483) Method: 52% KO/TKO, 13% submission, 35% decision — a 32% chance this fight goes the distance.