UFC: Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong headlines a card with 12 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on October 04, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Natalia Silva meets Wang Cong in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Natalia Silva a 75% chance to win. Method: 28% KO/TKO, 6% submission, 66% decision — a 65% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Natalia Silva rates above Wang Cong.

Card breakdown

• Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong: model favours Natalia Silva at 75% (Elo 1622 vs 1562) Method: 28% KO/TKO, 6% submission, 66% decision — a 65% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Ateba Gautier vs Roman Kopylov: model favours Ateba Gautier at 84% (Elo 1571 vs 1536) Method: 53% KO/TKO, 7% submission, 40% decision — a 40% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott: model favours Payton Talbott at 74% (Elo 1595 vs 1564) Method: 37% KO/TKO, 24% submission, 39% decision — a 37% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Valentina Shevchenko vs Natalia Silva: model favours Natalia Silva at 64% (Elo 1674 vs 1622) Method: 22% KO/TKO, 7% submission, 70% decision — a 70% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Court McGee vs Eric Nolan: model favours Eric Nolan at 61% (Elo 1475 vs 1469) Method: 23% KO/TKO, 21% submission, 56% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• King Green vs Esteban Ribovics: model favours King Green at 67% (Elo 1588 vs 1522) Method: 24% KO/TKO, 10% submission, 66% decision — a 69% chance this fight goes the distance.