Value Bet Results — 2026-08-21: 6-3, +4.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-21 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-3 across 11 bets, +4.9 units, average CLV +2.1pp.

Football

• Real Betis Balompié vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol — Real Betis Balompié -0.50: ✅ Won (+1.66u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Real Betis Balompié vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol — Over2.25: ❌ Lost (-1.98u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Arsenal FC vs Coventry City FC — Under3.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -1.6pp)

Tennis

• Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +8.9pp)

Baseball

• Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.90u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+2.41u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.70u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers — Detroit Tigers: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV +9.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians — Under 10.5: ✅ Won (+1.52u, CLV +5.1pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: ✅ Won (+1.81u, CLV -1.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.