Value Bet Results — 2026-08-28: 7-6, -0.6 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-28 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-6 across 13 bets, -0.6 units, average CLV +4.4pp.

Football

• VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück — VfL Bochum -1.00: ❌ Lost (-2.85u, CLV +14.6pp)
• VfL Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück — Under2.75: ✅ Won (+1.79u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Real Racing Club de Santander vs Elche CF — Real Racing Club de Santander -0.25: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Real Racing Club de Santander vs Elche CF — Under2.5: ❌ Lost (-2.32u, CLV +11.7pp)
• FC Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard — Under3.0: ❌ Lost (-1.97u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Wrexham AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Wrexham AFC -0.25: ❌ Lost (-1.57u, CLV +9.4pp)

Tennis

• Nikola Bartunkova vs Elise Mertens — Elise Mertens: ✅ Won (+1.89u, CLV +3.0pp)

Baseball

• Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+2.24u, CLV -0.7pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins: ✅ Won (+1.04u, CLV +4.4pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres — San Diego Padres: ❌ Lost (-1.12u, CLV +4.8pp)
• New York Mets vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ❌ Lost (-1.89u, CLV +0.0pp)
• New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox — Boston Red Sox: ✅ Won (+1.46u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+1.39u, CLV +0.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.