Value Bet Results — 2026-08-25: 6-6, -0.1 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-08-25 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-6 across 13 bets, -0.1 units, average CLV +2.7pp.

Football

• Valencia CF vs Real Betis Balompié — the draw: ❌ Lost (-1.32u, CLV +5.2pp)
• Valencia CF vs Real Betis Balompié — Under2.25: ✅ Won (+1.94u, CLV +2.6pp)

Tennis

• Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrell — Kimberly Birrell: ❌ Lost (-0.54u, CLV +6.6pp)
• Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeeva — Maria Timofeeva: ✅ Won (+1.42u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Janice Tjen vs Yuliia Starodubtseva — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -0.5pp)

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ✅ Won (+2.21u, CLV +1.9pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies — Over 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.85u, CLV +4.1pp)
• Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ✅ Won (+1.50u, CLV -3.2pp)
• New York Yankees vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ✅ Won (+1.49u, CLV +0.4pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ❌ Lost (-1.98u, CLV -0.5pp)
• San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ❌ Lost (-2.84u, CLV +5.1pp)
• San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+1.26u, CLV +0.5pp)

9

• Mario Piazzon vs Guilherme Uriel — Mario Piazzon: ❌ Lost (-1.41u, CLV +11.4pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.