Value Bet Results — 2026-09-02: 8-4, +9.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-02 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 8-4 across 14 bets, +9.5 units, average CLV +6.1pp.

Tennis

• Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse — Ignacio Buse: ✅ Won (+1.73u, CLV +16.8pp)
• Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley — Tomas Martin Etcheverry: ✅ Won (+3.43u, CLV +20.6pp)
• Marta Kostyuk vs Sloane Stephens — Under 18.5: ❌ Lost (-1.85u, CLV +3.5pp)
• Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng — Under 38.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng — Michael Zheng: ✅ Won (+0.52u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Katie Boulter vs Karolina Muchova — Under 19.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +4.6pp)
• Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche — Luca Van Assche: ❌ Lost (-0.72u, CLV -1.3pp)

Baseball

• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies — Under 9.0: ✅ Won (+1.86u, CLV +5.7pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies — Philadelphia Phillies: ✅ Won (+1.61u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners — Over 8.5: ✅ Won (+1.83u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays — Over 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.35u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-0.56u, CLV +2.3pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.56u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.83u, CLV -3.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.