Value Bet Results — 2026-09-08: 6-6, +0.4 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-08 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-6 across 12 bets, +0.4 units, average CLV +2.6pp.

Football

• NEC vs SBV Excelsior — Over3.5: ✅ Won (+1.76u, CLV +10.7pp)
• Watford FC vs Preston North End FC — Watford FC to win: ✅ Won (+3.08u, CLV -3.5pp)
• Bolton Wanderers FC vs West Ham United FC — West Ham United FC -0.75: ½ lost (-0.72u, CLV -5.1pp)

Baseball

• Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-1.69u, CLV +6.3pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros — Under 8.5: ❌ Lost (-2.57u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Miami Marlins vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+1.54u, CLV +9.6pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.13u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Arizona Diamondbacks: ❌ Lost (-2.04u, CLV +8.9pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ✅ Won (+1.70u, CLV +0.9pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Under 9.0: ✅ Won (+1.26u, CLV +2.0pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +7.1pp)

9

• Isaac Moreno vs Reginaldo Junior — Reginaldo Junior: ❌ Lost (-1.14u, CLV +1.4pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.