Value Bet Results — 2026-09-09: 4-4, -2.1 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-09 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-4 across 8 bets, -2.1 units, average CLV +1.9pp.

Football

• FC Twente '65 vs Telstar 1963 — FC Twente '65 +0: ✅ Won (+0.76u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Derby County FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC — West Bromwich Albion FC to win: ✅ Won (+2.01u, CLV -1.4pp)
• Charlton Athletic FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC — Charlton Athletic FC +0.25: ½ won (+0.89u, CLV -3.6pp)
• SSC Napoli vs Arsenal FC — Arsenal FC to win: ✅ Won (+1.59u, CLV +2.4pp)

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins — Minnesota Twins: ❌ Lost (-1.92u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 9.0: ❌ Lost (-2.02u, CLV +0.0pp)
• New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-2.20u, CLV +5.5pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +8.3pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.