Value Bet Results — 2026-09-23: 7-6, +2.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-23 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-6 across 13 bets, +2.2 units, average CLV +0.9pp.

Baseball

• San Francisco Giants vs Minnesota Twins — Under 7.5: ✅ Won (+1.68u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers — Under 7.0: ✅ Won (+1.56u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.11u, CLV +0.0pp)
• New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays: ❌ Lost (-1.60u, CLV -0.9pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ✅ Won (+1.51u, CLV +4.0pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.44u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.70u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ✅ Won (+2.70u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins: ✅ Won (+2.00u, CLV -0.8pp)
• Texas Rangers vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ❌ Lost (-1.80u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Under 11.0: ✅ Won (+1.45u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.78u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ✅ Won (+1.73u, CLV +0.5pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.