Value Bet Results — 2026-09-22: 6-6, +1.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-22 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 6-6 across 15 bets, +1.3 units, average CLV +3.4pp.

Tennis

• Barbora Krejcikova vs Anna Lena Friedsam — Under 18.5: ❌ Lost (-1.56u, CLV +4.1pp)

Baseball

• Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays — Over 7.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals — Washington Nationals: ✅ Won (+1.63u, CLV +2.1pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+1.49u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals — St. Louis Cardinals: ✅ Won (+0.74u, CLV +3.0pp)
• Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers — Under 7.0: ❌ Lost (-1.86u, CLV +5.1pp)
• New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays — Under 6.5: ❌ Lost (-1.19u, CLV +9.5pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ❌ Lost (-1.17u, CLV +3.4pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.54u, CLV +3.4pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox — Chicago White Sox: ❌ Lost (-1.78u, CLV -1.0pp)
• Texas Rangers vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ✅ Won (+2.00u, CLV +8.5pp)
• Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Under 10.5: ✅ Won (+2.16u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros — Under 7.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros — Houston Astros: ✅ Won (+2.41u, CLV +7.4pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.