Value Bet Results — 2026-09-26: 7-7, -0.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-26 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 7-7 across 17 bets, -0.2 units, average CLV +7.7pp.

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Pittsburgh Pirates: ❌ Lost (-1.79u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Under 8.5: ✅ Won (+3.24u, CLV +0.9pp)
• Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — Under 8.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — New York Mets: ❌ Lost (-2.47u, CLV +63.6pp)
• Athletics vs Houston Astros — Under 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.33u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 7.0: ❌ Lost (-2.33u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels — Los Angeles Angels: ❌ Lost (-0.86u, CLV +0.4pp)

8

• Toledo vs San Diego State — Over 50.5: ✅ Won (+2.32u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Boston College vs Virginia Tech — Over 47.0: ❌ Lost (-0.97u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Ohio State vs Illinois — Illinois +26.0: ✅ Won (+1.62u)
• UTSA vs Colorado State — Colorado State +14.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u)
• Kentucky vs South Alabama — Over 54.5: ✅ Won (+1.97u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Maryland vs UCLA — Over 57.0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Georgia State vs Northern Illinois — Northern Illinois +10.0: ❌ Lost (-0.69u)

9

• Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Rosas Jr. — Raul Rosas Jr.: ✅ Won (+0.54u, CLV -3.0pp)
• Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos — Raul Rosas Jr.: ✅ Won (+0.34u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas — Luis Hernandez: ✅ Won (+0.26u, CLV +6.3pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.