Value Bet Results — 2026-09-25: 3-5, -3.5 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-09-25 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 3-5 across 8 bets, -3.5 units, average CLV +5.4pp.

Baseball

• Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.25u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Washington Nationals vs New York Mets — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.46u, CLV +7.7pp)
• Toronto Blue Jays vs Cincinnati Reds — Cincinnati Reds: ✅ Won (+0.94u, CLV +6.6pp)
• Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ✅ Won (+1.46u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians — Under 7.0: ❌ Lost (-1.42u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.15u, CLV +7.7pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ❌ Lost (-1.91u, CLV +9.4pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels — Los Angeles Angels: ✅ Won (+1.29u, CLV +10.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.