Value Bet Results — 2026-10-13: 4-5, -5.0 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-13 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 4-5 across 10 bets, -5.0 units, average CLV +3.7pp.

Football

• Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen — Hansa Rostock +0: ❌ Lost (-5.00u, CLV +7.2pp)
• TSV Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers — TSV Havelse +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -2.2pp)
• Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC — Birmingham City FC to win: ✅ Won (+3.10u, CLV +11.0pp)

Hockey

• Detroit Red Wings vs New Jersey Devils — Over 6.0: ✅ Won (+1.40u, CLV -3.1pp)
• Chicago Blackhawks vs Pittsburgh Penguins — Pittsburgh Penguins: ❌ Lost (-2.18u, CLV +2.5pp)
• Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights — Vegas Golden Knights: ✅ Won (+2.00u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Utah Mammoth: ✅ Won (+1.83u, CLV -0.6pp)
• Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs — Under 6.5: ❌ Lost (-1.76u, CLV -2.0pp)
• Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers — Over 6.0: ❌ Lost (-3.43u)

Baseball

• Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians — Cleveland Guardians: ❌ Lost (-1.00u, CLV +2.7pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.