Value Bet Results — 2026-10-14: 2-5, -7.3 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-10-14 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 2-5 across 8 bets, -7.3 units, average CLV +5.6pp.

Football

• Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Großaspach — Viktoria Köln to win: ❌ Lost (-2.78u, CLV +4.0pp)
• SC Verl vs Jahn Regensburg — Jahn Regensburg +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +11.9pp)
• SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs Alemannia Aachen — Alemannia Aachen to win: ❌ Lost (-1.07u, CLV -6.9pp)
• SV Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — SV Waldhof Mannheim to win: ❌ Lost (-1.78u, CLV +10.6pp)
• Portsmouth FC vs Sheffield United FC — Sheffield United FC +0: ❌ Lost (-1.08u, CLV +14.5pp)
• Manchester City FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Manchester City FC +0: ❌ Lost (-3.90u, CLV +7.5pp)

Tennis

• Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica Pegula — Over 21.5: ✅ Won (+1.63u, CLV -2.4pp)
• Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Under 22.5: ✅ Won (+1.73u, CLV +0.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.