Baker Mayfield (Quarterback, TB) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB4, projected for ~302 PPR points (overall rank 29). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB12 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Baker Mayfield on average 97 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 126 vs model rank 29) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 302 | 57 | 2 | 29 | QB4 | 130.4 |
| Half-PPR | 302 | 57 | 1 | 20 | QB3 | 135.1 |
| Standard | 302 | 57 | 1 | 17 | QB3 | 135.8 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 3693 | 26 | 11 | 55 | 382 | 1 | 274 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4500 | 41 | 16 | 60 | 378 | 3 | 368 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4044 | 28 | 10 | 62 | 163 | 1 | 276 |
| 2022 | 12 | 2163 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 89 | 1 | 125 |
| 2021 | 14 | 3010 | 17 | 13 | 37 | 134 | 1 | 182 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | 167 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 22.6 |
| 2 | HOU | 215 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 19.9 |
| 3 | NYJ | 233 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 17.7 |
| 4 | PHI | 289 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 18.9 |
| 5 | SEA | 379 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 24.7 |
| 6 | SF | 256 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 19.6 |
| 7 | DET | 228 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 8 | NO | 152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| 10 | NE | 273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22.9 |
| 11 | BUF | 173 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 1 | 18.8 |
| 12 | LA | 41 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 3.5 |
| 13 | ARI | 194 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 14.5 |
| 14 | NO | 122 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 15 | ATL | 277 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17.2 |
| 16 | CAR | 145 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 12.7 |
| 17 | MIA | 346 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 19.4 |
| 18 | CAR | 203 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 13.2 |