C.J. Stroud (Quarterback, HOU) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB17, projected for ~234 PPR points (overall rank 109). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB21 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts C.J. Stroud on average 57 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 166 vs model rank 109) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 234 | -11 | 6 | 109 | QB17 | 157.7 |
| Half-PPR | 234 | -11 | 6 | 111 | QB17 | 160.9 |
| Standard | 234 | -11 | 6 | 116 | QB17 | 164.9 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14 | 3041 | 19 | 8 | 48 | 209 | 1 | 209 |
| 2024 | 17 | 3727 | 20 | 12 | 52 | 233 | 0 | 228 |
| 2023 | 15 | 4108 | 23 | 5 | 39 | 157 | 3 | 281 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA | 188 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 8.7 |
| 2 | TB | 207 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 15.0 |
| 3 | JAX | 204 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 4 | TEN | 233 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 18.4 |
| 5 | BAL | 244 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 28.8 |
| 7 | SEA | 229 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 13.7 |
| 8 | SF | 318 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 21.7 |
| 9 | DEN | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4.4 |
| 13 | IND | 276 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 |
| 14 | KC | 203 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 15 | ARI | 260 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 23.4 |
| 16 | LV | 187 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11.5 |
| 17 | LAC | 244 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13.8 |
| 18 | IND | 169 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 17.3 |