Derrick Henry (Running Back, BAL) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's RB7, projected for ~266 PPR points (overall rank 12). In the 2025 season they finished as the RB7 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Derrick Henry on average 5 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 7 vs model rank 12) — beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 266 | 102 | 2 | 12 | RB7 | 13.3 | 34% |
| Half-PPR | 258 | 107 | 1 | 9 | RB6 | — | 34% |
| Standard | 251 | 120 | 1 | 5 | RB4 | 7.0 | 34% |
| Season | G | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 307 | 1595 | 16 | 21 | 15 | 150 | 0 | 286 |
| 2024 | 17 | 325 | 1921 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 193 | 2 | 338 |
| 2023 | 17 | 280 | 1167 | 12 | 36 | 28 | 214 | 0 | 247 |
| 2022 | 16 | 349 | 1538 | 13 | 41 | 33 | 398 | 0 | 309 |
| 2021 | 8 | 219 | 937 | 10 | 20 | 18 | 154 | 0 | 191 |
| Wk | Opp | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 18 | 169 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 31.2 |
| 2 | CLE | 11 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| 3 | DET | 12 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 12.7 |
| 4 | KC | 8 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 5 | HOU | 15 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| 6 | LA | 24 | 122 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 14.0 |
| 8 | CHI | 21 | 71 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.1 |
| 9 | MIA | 19 | 119 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13.1 |
| 10 | MIN | 20 | 75 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 11 | CLE | 18 | 103 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 20.2 |
| 12 | NYJ | 21 | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 22.8 |
| 13 | CIN | 10 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 0 | 17.4 |
| 14 | PIT | 25 | 94 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 11.2 |
| 15 | CIN | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 |
| 16 | NE | 18 | 128 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24.8 |
| 17 | GB | 36 | 216 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45.6 |
| 18 | PIT | 20 | 126 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.6 |