Jake Ferguson (Tight End, DAL) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's TE19, projected for ~135 PPR points (overall rank 112). In the 2025 season they finished as the TE4 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Jake Ferguson on average 18 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 130 vs model rank 112) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 135 | -13 | 5 | 112 | TE19 | 132.8 | 21% |
| Half-PPR | 105 | -14 | 6 | 117 | TE22 | 139.2 | 21% |
| Standard | 76 | -16 | 6 | 128 | TE24 | 157.4 | 21% |
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 102 | 82 | 600 | 8 | 190 |
| 2024 | 14 | 86 | 59 | 494 | 0 | 108 |
| 2023 | 17 | 102 | 71 | 761 | 5 | 177 |
| 2022 | 11 | 22 | 19 | 174 | 2 | 48 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 6 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 7.3 |
| 2 | NYG | 12 | 9 | 78 | 0 | 16.8 |
| 3 | CHI | 14 | 13 | 82 | 0 | 21.2 |
| 4 | GB | 7 | 7 | 40 | 1 | 17.0 |
| 5 | NYJ | 9 | 7 | 49 | 2 | 23.9 |
| 6 | CAR | 3 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 12.3 |
| 7 | WAS | 7 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 21.9 |
| 8 | DEN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | ARI | 7 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 10.0 |
| 11 | LV | 5 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 11.6 |
| 12 | PHI | 6 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 13 | KC | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 8.6 |
| 14 | DET | 7 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 10.8 |
| 15 | MIN | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 3.6 |
| 16 | LAC | 4 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 4.9 |
| 17 | WAS | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7.6 |
| 18 | NYG | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.5 |