Joe Burrow (Quarterback, CIN) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB16, projected for ~236 PPR points (overall rank 108). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB29 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Joe Burrow on average 50 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 58 vs model rank 108) — beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 236 | -9 | 6 | 108 | QB16 | 57.6 |
| Half-PPR | 236 | -9 | 6 | 107 | QB16 | 57.6 |
| Standard | 236 | -9 | 6 | 110 | QB16 | 56.1 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8 | 1809 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 0 | 135 |
| 2024 | 17 | 4918 | 43 | 9 | 42 | 201 | 2 | 383 |
| 2023 | 10 | 2309 | 15 | 6 | 31 | 88 | 0 | 149 |
| 2022 | 16 | 4475 | 35 | 12 | 75 | 257 | 5 | 351 |
| 2021 | 16 | 4611 | 34 | 14 | 40 | 118 | 2 | 316 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 113 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8.8 |
| 2 | JAX | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| 13 | BAL | 261 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 19.2 |
| 14 | BUF | 284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23.4 |
| 15 | BAL | 225 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 5.5 |
| 16 | MIA | 309 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 29.0 |
| 17 | ARI | 305 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20.4 |
| 18 | CLE | 236 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 21.1 |