Josh Allen (Quarterback, BUF) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's QB1, projected for ~387 PPR points (overall rank 6). In the 2025 season they finished as the QB1 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Josh Allen on average 28 spots LATER than our board (ADP rank 34 vs model rank 6) — potential draft value.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 387 | 142 | 1 | 6 | QB1 | 33.7 |
| Half-PPR | 387 | 142 | 1 | 3 | QB1 | 32.9 |
| Standard | 387 | 142 | 1 | 3 | QB1 | 26.5 |
| Season | G | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 3668 | 25 | 10 | 112 | 579 | 14 | 369 |
| 2024 | 16 | 3731 | 28 | 6 | 102 | 531 | 12 | 374 |
| 2023 | 17 | 4306 | 29 | 18 | 111 | 524 | 15 | 395 |
| 2022 | 16 | 4283 | 35 | 14 | 124 | 762 | 7 | 402 |
| 2021 | 17 | 4407 | 36 | 15 | 122 | 763 | 6 | 403 |
| Wk | Opp | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yds | Rush TD | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 394 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 30 | 2 | 38.8 |
| 2 | NYJ | 148 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 59 | 0 | 11.8 |
| 3 | MIA | 213 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 23.0 |
| 4 | NO | 209 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 24.9 |
| 5 | NE | 253 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 0 | 21.4 |
| 6 | ATL | 180 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 42 | 0 | 15.4 |
| 8 | CAR | 163 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 23.2 |
| 9 | KC | 273 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 28.8 |
| 10 | MIA | 306 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 21.3 |
| 11 | TB | 317 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 3 | 42.7 |
| 12 | HOU | 253 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 8.1 |
| 13 | PIT | 123 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 16.7 |
| 14 | CIN | 251 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 78 | 1 | 35.8 |
| 15 | NE | 193 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 0 | 24.5 |
| 16 | CLE | 130 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 6.9 |
| 17 | PHI | 262 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 2 | 25.2 |