Zay Flowers (Wide Receiver, BAL) enters the 2026 draft season as our model's WR9, projected for ~225 PPR points (overall rank 36). In the 2025 season they finished as the WR7 in PPR scoring. Projections come from prior-season form, usage and opponent strength — a data baseline for draft research, not a betting edge.
The market drafts Zay Flowers on average 10 spots EARLIER than our board (ADP rank 26 vs model rank 36) — beware of reaching.
Pace assumes a full 17-game season at the player's current modelled per-game rate — it does not account for injury, role changes, suspensions or coaching decisions that can shift usage during the season. Data baseline for research, not a betting edge.
| Scoring | Proj pts | VOR | Tier | Overall | Pos rank | ADP | TD% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 225 | 49 | 2 | 36 | WR9 | 26.5 | 32% |
| Half-PPR | 186 | 40 | 2 | 38 | WR9 | 24.6 | 32% |
| Standard | 146 | 33 | 2 | 41 | WR9 | 25.5 | 32% |
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 118 | 86 | 1211 | 5 | 10 | 62 | 249 |
| 2024 | 17 | 116 | 74 | 1059 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 210 |
| 2023 | 16 | 108 | 77 | 858 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 204 |
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Car | Rush yds | PPR pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 9 | 7 | 143 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 28.1 |
| 2 | CLE | 11 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14.9 |
| 3 | DET | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 4 | KC | 8 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.4 |
| 5 | HOU | 5 | 5 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.2 |
| 6 | LA | 10 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 8 | CHI | 9 | 7 | 63 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14.1 |
| 9 | MIA | 5 | 5 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 10 | MIN | 6 | 4 | 75 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12.1 |
| 11 | CLE | 5 | 3 | 78 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11.3 |
| 12 | NYJ | 6 | 5 | 58 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11.9 |
| 13 | CIN | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| 14 | PIT | 11 | 8 | 124 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20.6 |
| 15 | CIN | 5 | 3 | 68 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15.8 |
| 16 | NE | 7 | 7 | 84 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23.2 |
| 17 | GB | 5 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13.0 |
| 18 | PIT | 6 | 4 | 138 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29.8 |