Eredivisie Weekend Recap: Results & Model Review (Oct 9–12, 2026)

The results

Here is how the Eredivisie weekend (Oct 9–12, 2026) played out — every result set against the model's pre-match lean. Bottom line: the model's 1X2 lean called 1 of 5 results. All season-long numbers for the league: Eredivisie hub.

• PSV 2–0 SC Heerenveen — model lean: PSV (75%) ✅
• Go Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam — model lean: Go Ahead Eagles (58%) ❌
• Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–0 AZ — model lean: AZ (37%) ❌
• Fortuna Sittard 1–1 FC Twente '65 — model lean: FC Twente '65 (52%) ❌
• AFC Ajax 1–1 NEC — model lean: AFC Ajax (66%) ❌

Settled value bets

These bets are settled, which is why we can show them — winners and losers alike. Pending picks stay members-only.

• AFC Ajax vs NEC — AFC Ajax +0: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.9pp)

An honest read

One weekend is a tiny sample: 5 games tell you almost nothing about model quality — calibration across hundreds of matches does. That is why we grade ourselves on the open, running track record, not on a single round.