Serie A Weekend Preview: Model Predictions (Aug 21–24, 2026)

The weekend slate

10 Serie A fixtures run from Friday to Monday (Aug 21–24, 2026). Here is the full model pass: win probabilities, expected goals and recent form for every game. All season-long numbers for the league live on our Serie A hub.

Fixture-by-fixture model read

Udinese Calcio vs Como 1907 — Sat, Aug 22, 18:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): Udinese Calcio L-L-W-W-D, Como 1907 W-W-W-D-W.

FC Internazionale Milano vs AC Monza — Sat, Aug 22, 18:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): FC Internazionale Milano D-D-W-W-D.

Genoa CFC vs SSC Napoli — Sat, Aug 22, 20:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): Genoa CFC L-L-D-D-L, SSC Napoli W-W-L-D-W.

Parma Calcio 1913 vs Cagliari Calcio — Sat, Aug 22, 20:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): Parma Calcio 1913 W-L-L-L-W, Cagliari Calcio W-W-L-D-W.

Frosinone Calcio vs Juventus FC — Sun, Aug 23, 18:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): Juventus FC D-L-W-D-D.

Venezia FC vs US Lecce — Sun, Aug 23, 18:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): US Lecce W-W-L-W-D.

Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio — Sun, Aug 23, 20:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): Atalanta BC D-L-W-D-L, US Sassuolo Calcio L-L-L-W-D.

Torino FC vs AC Milan — Sun, Aug 23, 20:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): Torino FC D-L-W-L-D, AC Milan L-W-L-L-D.

Bologna FC 1909 vs SS Lazio — Mon, Aug 24, 18:30

Form (last 5, most recent first): Bologna FC 1909 D-W-W-D-L, SS Lazio W-L-L-W-D.

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Mon, Aug 24, 20:45

Form (last 5, most recent first): AS Roma W-W-W-W-W, ACF Fiorentina D-W-D-L-D.

An honest caveat

A model probability is not a promise: across a single weekend even a well-calibrated model will "lose" several games — that is variance, not a defect. Our edge lives in the precision of the numbers versus the market, not in guessing winners. Every value bet the model flags runs openly into our track record — winners and losers alike. The actual picks stay members-only until they settle.