UFC: Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott headlines a card with 52 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on October 18, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Joaquin Buckley meets Mike Malott in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Mike Malott a 52% chance to win. Method: 39% KO/TKO, 10% submission, 51% decision — a 51% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Mike Malott rates above Joaquin Buckley.

Card breakdown

• Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott: model favours Mike Malott at 52% (Elo 1586 vs 1596) Method: 39% KO/TKO, 10% submission, 51% decision — a 51% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius: model favours Erin Blanchfield at 73% (Elo 1612 vs 1590) Method: 19% KO/TKO, 23% submission, 59% decision — a 58% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow: model favours Steven Koslow at 74% (Elo 1482 vs 1484) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 23% submission, 43% decision — a 42% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti: model favours Nick Galanti at 79% (Elo 1482 vs 1500) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 28% submission, 46% decision — a 44% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz: model favours Tanner Boser at 50% (Elo 1483 vs 1516) Method: 39% KO/TKO, 7% submission, 55% decision — a 53% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Cody Chovancek vs Su Young You: model favours Cody Chovancek at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.