UFC: Jovan Leka vs Alexander Poppeck Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Jovan Leka vs Alexander Poppeck headlines a card with 41 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on August 01, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Jovan Leka meets Alexander Poppeck in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Jovan Leka a 69% chance to win. Method: 33% KO/TKO, 25% submission, 42% decision — a 41% chance this fight goes the distance.

Card breakdown

• Jovan Leka vs Alexander Poppeck: model favours Jovan Leka at 69% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 25% submission, 42% decision — a 41% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Vlasto Cepo vs Gilbert Urbina: model favours Gilbert Urbina at 52% (Elo 1500 vs 1471) Method: 43% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 37% decision — a 35% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Jan Blachowicz vs Navajo Stirling: model favours Navajo Stirling at 85% (Elo 1582 vs 1573) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 8% submission, 60% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Mark Vologdin vs Josias Musasa: model favours Mark Vologdin at 57% (Elo 1500 vs 1467) Method: 33% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 47% decision — a 48% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec: model favours Mateusz Rebecki at 86% (Elo 1506 vs 1444) Method: 31% KO/TKO, 17% submission, 53% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.
• L'udovit Klein vs Tofiq Musayev: model favours Tofiq Musayev at 66% (Elo 1500 vs 1504) Method: 28% KO/TKO, 24% submission, 48% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.