UFC: Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon headlines a card with 22 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on September 26, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Montel Jackson meets Ricky Simon in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Montel Jackson a 61% chance to win. Method: 26% KO/TKO, 14% submission, 60% decision — a 62% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Ricky Simon rates above Montel Jackson.

Card breakdown

• Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon: model favours Montel Jackson at 61% (Elo 1574 vs 1559) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 14% submission, 60% decision — a 62% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos: model favours Raul Rosas Jr. at 67% (Elo 1572 vs 1599) Method: 22% KO/TKO, 19% submission, 59% decision — a 60% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek: model favours Rodolfo Vieira at 59% (Elo 1509 vs 1488) Method: 23% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 57% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui: model favours Yazmin Jauregui at 84% (Elo 1494 vs 1510) Method: 37% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 53% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Mehemmedeli Osmanli vs Ilimbek Akylbek: model favours Mehemmedeli Osmanli at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Melissa Amaya vs Valesca Machado: model favours Melissa Amaya at 50% (Elo 1500 vs 1500) Method: 34% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 45% decision — a 46% chance this fight goes the distance.