UFC: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards Preview — Full Card Model Reads & Power Ratings

UFC: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards headlines a card with 30 fights our model has generated pre-fight reads for on September 26, 2026. Below: model win probabilities, method reads and power-rating context for every fight on the main card.

Main event

Rodolfo Bellato meets Christian Edwards in a fight scheduled for 3 rounds. Our model gives Rodolfo Bellato a 64% chance to win. Method: 29% KO/TKO, 12% submission, 59% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance. By our whole-history power rating (Bradley-Terry, the same method behind the win-probability read), Rodolfo Bellato rates above Christian Edwards.

Card breakdown

• Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards: model favours Rodolfo Bellato at 64% (Elo 1516 vs 1486) Method: 29% KO/TKO, 12% submission, 59% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• John Castaneda vs Heili Alateng: model favours John Castaneda at 61% (Elo 1507 vs 1500) Method: 42% KO/TKO, 10% submission, 48% decision — a 48% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Mickey Gall vs Sedriques Dumas: model favours Sedriques Dumas at 62% (Elo 1474 vs 1464) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 32% submission, 42% decision — a 45% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon: model favours Montel Jackson at 61% (Elo 1574 vs 1559) Method: 26% KO/TKO, 14% submission, 60% decision — a 62% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Rodolfo Vieira vs Robert Bryczek: model favours Rodolfo Vieira at 59% (Elo 1509 vs 1488) Method: 23% KO/TKO, 20% submission, 57% decision — a 56% chance this fight goes the distance.
• Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui: model favours Yazmin Jauregui at 84% (Elo 1494 vs 1510) Method: 37% KO/TKO, 9% submission, 53% decision — a 52% chance this fight goes the distance.