Value Bet Results — 2026-06-16: 18-15, +10.9 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-06-16 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 18-15 across 33 bets, +10.9 units, average CLV +0.8pp.

Tennis

• Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys — Eva Lys: ✅ Won (+2.45u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-1.73u, CLV +4.5pp)
• Alexei Popyrin vs Raphael Collignon — Raphael Collignon: ✅ Won (+2.53u, CLV +6.3pp)
• Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+1.34u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn — Karen Khachanov: ❌ Lost (-4.94u, CLV +0.7pp)
• Brandon Nakashima vs Marton Fucsovics — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-1.77u, CLV +3.6pp)
• Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron — Over 23.0: ✅ Won (+1.47u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+2.64u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro — Over 24.5: ✅ Won (+1.30u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-2.63u, CLV +1.6pp)
• Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva — Over 20.0: ✅ Won (+2.60u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francisco Cerundolo — Aleksandar Kovacevic: ❌ Lost (-1.86u, CLV -1.2pp)
• Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francisco Cerundolo — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+1.74u, CLV +1.0pp)
• Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Fabian Marozsan: ✅ Won (+3.51u, CLV +2.9pp)
• Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+3.19u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Damm — Under 23.5: ❌ Lost (-2.84u, CLV -2.6pp)
• Clara Tauson vs Diane Parry — Over 22.5: ❌ Lost (-1.74u, CLV +3.1pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya — Elina Svitolina: ✅ Won (+2.30u, CLV -0.7pp)
• Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya — Over 21.5: ❌ Lost (-1.88u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Suzan Lamens vs Paula Badosa — Suzan Lamens: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV +0.8pp)
• Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Cameron Norrie: ❌ Lost (-0.67u, CLV +6.3pp)
• Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — Over 23.5: ❌ Lost (-2.58u, CLV -2.0pp)
• Rinky Hijikata vs Alejandro Tabilo — Alejandro Tabilo: ❌ Lost (-1.44u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka — Kamil Majchrzak: ❌ Lost (-1.43u, CLV -0.7pp)
• Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka — Over 23.5: ✅ Won (+2.47u, CLV +1.5pp)

Baseball

• Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.75u, CLV +0.0pp)
• New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — Under 8.0: ❌ Lost (-3.02u, CLV -0.5pp)
• Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+2.52u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies — Colorado Rockies: ✅ Won (+1.07u, CLV -3.5pp)
• Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers — Houston Astros -1.5: ✅ Won (+1.74u, CLV +1.3pp)
• Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels — Under 9.0: ✅ Won (+2.57u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles — Under 7.5: ✅ Won (+4.25u, CLV +2.6pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays — Under 8.0: ✅ Won (+2.69u, CLV -1.0pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.