Value Bet Results — 2026-07-29: 2-7, -8.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-29 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 2-7 across 12 bets, -8.2 units, average CLV +1.0pp.

Tennis

• Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto — Elisabetta Cocciaretto: ✅ Won (+1.88u, CLV -4.4pp)
• Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti — Under 22.0: ❌ Lost (-1.24u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Taylor Fritz vs Kamil Majchrzak — Under 22.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV -1.9pp)
• Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino — Under 21.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +1.5pp)
• Rafael Jodar vs Kei Nishikori — Under 20.5: ➖ Void (+0.00u, CLV +5.6pp)

Baseball

• Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays — Toronto Blue Jays: ❌ Lost (-2.22u, CLV +0.5pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — Under 7.5: ❌ Lost (-1.79u, CLV +7.2pp)
• Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles — Detroit Tigers -1.5: ❌ Lost (-1.11u, CLV +1.4pp)
• Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ❌ Lost (-1.77u, CLV -0.9pp)
• St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs — Chicago Cubs: ❌ Lost (-1.71u, CLV -4.1pp)
• Athletics vs Boston Red Sox — Under 10.5: ✅ Won (+1.28u, CLV -3.9pp)
• Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners — Over 9.5: ❌ Lost (-1.53u, CLV +7.9pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.