Value Bet Results — 2026-07-30: 5-3, +2.2 units

The results

Here's how our value bets from 2026-07-30 settled — honestly, wins and losses. The bottom line: 5-3 across 8 bets, +2.2 units, average CLV +0.6pp.

Tennis

• Polina Kudermetova vs Elina Svitolina — Elina Svitolina: ✅ Won (+1.00u, CLV +0.0pp)
• Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech — Jessica Pegula: ✅ Won (+0.65u, CLV +3.7pp)

Baseball

• Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers — Texas Rangers: ❌ Lost (-1.63u, CLV -13.9pp)
• Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals — Kansas City Royals: ❌ Lost (-1.11u, CLV +3.7pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees — New York Yankees: ✅ Won (+2.05u, CLV +1.1pp)
• Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees — Over 7.5: ❌ Lost (-2.08u, CLV +1.5pp)
• New York Mets vs Miami Marlins — Miami Marlins: ✅ Won (+1.76u, CLV +0.6pp)
• Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals — Under 9.5: ✅ Won (+1.60u, CLV +4.1pp)

What it means

A single night is noise — the metric that matters is closing line value across hundreds of bets. Beat the sharpest books' closing line consistently and profit follows over time, regardless of any one bet's result. The full, continuously-updated record is in the open on our track record.